Authorized and Regulated Entities: SARACEN MARKETS (PTY) LTD

Market Outlook

Trump Signals US-UK Trade Deal Imminent , Traders Cautioned on Broader Tariff Risks 1

Trump Signals US-UK Trade Deal Imminent , Traders Cautioned on Broader Tariff Risks

Markets welcomed a renewed jolt of trade optimism after U.S. President Donald Trump said his administration will unveil a “major” international trade agreement on Thursday, expected to involve the United Kingdom. The announcement helped lift sterling modestly in early trading, while UK equity futures edged higher amid hopes of increased transatlantic economic alignment. While the pound […]

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Dollar Rebounds as US-China Trade Talks Reignite Hope but Traders Urged to Brace for More Volatility 3

Dollar Rebounds as US-China Trade Talks Reignite Hope but Traders Urged to Brace for More Volatility

After three consecutive sessions of declines, the U.S. dollar staged a measured recovery on Tuesday, buoyed by renewed optimism over trade diplomacy between Washington and Beijing. Markets are reacting to confirmation that senior U.S. and Chinese officials will convene in Switzerland later this week their first face-to-face negotiations since last month’s aggressive escalation in tariffs

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Dollar Strengthens on Robust Services Data Amid Temporary Market Calm Ahead of Fed Decision 5

Dollar Strengthens on Robust Services Data Amid Temporary Market Calm Ahead of Fed Decision

The U.S. dollar posted modest gains following a better-than-expected services sector performance, while markets exhibited relative calm amid anticipation of new developments in U.S. trade policy. Asian currencies retreated slightly after a recent run-up on optimism over future trade deals. Meanwhile, commodities markets displayed mixed performance, with crude oil rebounding from multi-year lows and gold

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Dollar Weakens Further as Trade Uncertainty, OPEC+ Supply Shift Undermine U.S. Market Sentiment 7

Dollar Weakens Further as Trade Uncertainty, OPEC+ Supply Shift Undermine U.S. Market Sentiment

The global financial landscape is once again tilting toward risk aversion as investors recalibrate expectations around U.S. trade policy, dollar strength, and commodity markets. A retreat in the greenback, weakness in U.S. equity-index futures, and an unexpected supply-side move from OPEC+ have all converged to reinforce a “Sell America” narrative that is gaining momentum across markets. As

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Global Trade Sentiment Stabilizes Ahead of Pivotal U.S. Labor Data 9

Global Trade Sentiment Stabilizes Ahead of Pivotal U.S. Labor Data

Global financial markets are cautiously regaining footing amid early indications of easing trade tensions between the United States and China. Following heightened uncertainty triggered by the White House’s April 2 tariff expansion, sentiment has since steadied, albeit tentatively. Investors now shift their focus to the April U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, scheduled for release later

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Markets Brace for U.S. GDP Data Amid Trade Policy Shifts and Rate Cut Speculation 11

Markets Brace for U.S. GDP Data Amid Trade Policy Shifts and Rate Cut Speculation

Global financial markets remain in a holding pattern as investors await a new directional catalyst. The spotlight today centers on the U.S. Q1 GDP release, which is widely expected to confirm a sharp slowdown in economic activity due to disruptive policy shifts from the White House. While sentiment has steadied on the back of tariff reprieves

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Dollar Firms, Gold Retreats as Markets Stabilize Amid Ongoing Tariff Ambiguity and US Data Watch 13

Dollar Firms, Gold Retreats as Markets Stabilize Amid Ongoing Tariff Ambiguity and US Data Watch

Financial markets exhibited tentative signs of stabilization following recent episodes of heightened volatility driven by unpredictable U.S. trade policy signals. A modest uptick in the U.S. dollar and a concurrent decline in gold prices suggest an improving short-term risk appetite, although investor conviction remains limited ahead of key U.S. macroeconomic releases this week. Developments around

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Markets Tread Cautiously Amid Trade Negotiation Hopes and Prospects of Further China Stimulus 15

Markets Tread Cautiously Amid Trade Negotiation Hopes and Prospects of Further China Stimulus

Investor sentiment remains cautiously constructive amid expectations of progress in U.S. trade negotiations and growing anticipation of additional monetary stimulus from China. Risk appetite was restrained as market participants awaited key macroeconomic data releases and central bank decisions later this week. Meanwhile, gold prices corrected sharply, while U.S. Treasury yields edged higher and the dollar

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Rate Cut Signals & Tariff Easing Spark Market Rebound – But Volatility Still Looms 17

Rate Cut Signals & Tariff Easing Spark Market Rebound – But Volatility Still Looms

Investor sentiment rebounded to end the week, with risk appetite resurfacing after a string of dovish signals from U.S. Federal Reserve officials and signs of potential de-escalation in the U.S.-China trade standoff. The dollar firmed against major peers, while gold tumbled 1.4% as demand for havens receded. The narrative shift is being driven by growing

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Tactical Patience: Trade Fog Lingers as Dollar Slips and Safe Havens Surge 19

Tactical Patience: Trade Fog Lingers as Dollar Slips and Safe Havens Surge

Dollar Slips, Gold Soars as Trade Uncertainty Resurfaces The U.S. dollar reversed its modest gains while gold rallied sharply, climbing 1.4%, as investors recalibrated expectations following Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s tempered outlook on a resolution to the U.S.-China trade dispute. After two days of declines, the yen rebounded decisively reasserting its haven role amid growing

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