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Market Outlook

Global Risk Sentiment Dips as Trade Tensions Escalate 1

Global Risk Sentiment Dips as Trade Tensions Escalate

Financial markets opened the week on a cautious note, marked by renewed trade tensions and policy uncertainty. The US dollar firmed against major peers as President Donald Trump reiterated his hardline stance on trade, announcing that tariff letters will be issued as early as today. His threat to impose an additional levy on nations aligning […]

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Rising Trade Tensions Reassert Risks Despite Resilient Labour Data 3

Rising Trade Tensions Reassert Risks Despite Resilient Labour Data

Markets are navigating a mixed set of signals as President Donald Trump intensifies trade threats ahead of a critical July 9 deadline, while stronger than expected labour market data in the US has tempered expectations for immediate monetary easing. The US financial markets are closed for the Independence Day holiday, resulting in lighter trading conditions.

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Heightened Market Sensitivity Ahead of Key US Labour Report 5

Heightened Market Sensitivity Ahead of Key US Labour Report

Financial markets are on high alert ahead of the release of the June US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, with investors weighing the implications of potential labour market softening for the trajectory of Federal Reserve (Fed) policy. The data is set to be pivotal for the near-term direction of the US dollar and broader risk sentiment,

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Cautious Calm in Markets as Tariff Threats Persist and Labour Data Looms 7

Cautious Calm in Markets as Tariff Threats Persist and Labour Data Looms

Investor sentiment remains delicately balanced as markets navigate the interplay between persistent US trade threats and expectations of an increasingly accommodative Federal Reserve. President Donald Trump’s latest rhetoric targeting Japan specifically threatening fresh tariff hikes and criticising Tokyo’s restrictions on US rice imports has heightened trade policy uncertainty. Despite this, the US dollar has broadly

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Dollar Retreats Amid Leadership Uncertainty at the Federal Reserve 9

Dollar Retreats Amid Leadership Uncertainty at the Federal Reserve

The US dollar softened and Treasury yields declined as market participants priced in the increased probability of earlier-than-anticipated monetary easing by the Federal Reserve. The shift in expectations was triggered by reports that President Donald Trump may soon announce an early successor to Fed Chair Jerome Powell, potentially before the end of Q3 2025. While

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Monetary Policy Easing Expectations Strengthen Amid Mixed Signals from the Fed 11

Monetary Policy Easing Expectations Strengthen Amid Mixed Signals from the Fed

Markets exhibited cautious optimism as expectations for a US interest rate cut gained traction following nuanced remarks by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and a series of follow up statements by regional Fed officials. Despite maintaining a broadly patient tone, Powell acknowledged growing downside risks from softening inflation and weakening consumer sentiment, prompting Treasury traders

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Geopolitical Relief Triggers Market Reversal; Focus Shifts to Fed and Tariffs 13

Geopolitical Relief Triggers Market Reversal; Focus Shifts to Fed and Tariffs

Market sentiment improved modestly in early trading following a surprise announcement by US President Donald Trump that Israel and Iran have agreed to a provisional ceasefire. The development marks a potential de-escalation in a volatile two-week period of heightened geopolitical tension that had driven notable shifts across global financial markets. Crude oil retreated sharply on

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Geopolitical Crosscurrents Keep Markets on Edge Amid Rising Energy Risk 15

Geopolitical Crosscurrents Keep Markets on Edge Amid Rising Energy Risk

Financial markets remain deeply sensitive to geopolitical dynamics following the United States’ weekend strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities. The response from Tehran is still pending, though authorities have signaled all retaliatory options remain on the table. Crude oil markets have responded with renewed strength as traders reassess the risk of supply disruptions through the Strait

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Markets Brace for US Decision on Iran as Geopolitical Risk Clouds Global Outlook 17

Markets Brace for US Decision on Iran as Geopolitical Risk Clouds Global Outlook

Markets are treading carefully ahead of a critical geopolitical juncture, as the White House confirms that President Donald Trump will decide within two weeks whether the United States will join Israel in military action against Iran. While oil prices have moderated from earlier gains, market sentiment remains fragile amid elevated geopolitical tensions, a hawkish Fed

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Geopolitical Escalation and Sticky Inflation Reinforce Caution as Fed Holds; Dollar Firms Amid Market Repricing 19

Geopolitical Escalation and Sticky Inflation Reinforce Caution as Fed Holds; Dollar Firms Amid Market Repricing

Global markets enter a period of elevated caution as the United States weighs the potential for direct military engagement with Iran while the Federal Reserve signals concern over persistent inflation and tariff-linked uncertainty. The Fed held rates steady, but Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged that inflation pressures remain elevated, complicating the central bank’s path forward. With

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