Authorized and Regulated Entities: SARACEN MARKETS (PTY) LTD

Cautious Calm in Markets as Tariff Threats Persist and Labour Data Looms 1

Cautious Calm in Markets as Tariff Threats Persist and Labour Data Looms

Investor sentiment remains delicately balanced as markets navigate the interplay between persistent US trade threats and expectations of an increasingly accommodative Federal Reserve. President Donald Trump’s latest rhetoric targeting Japan specifically threatening fresh tariff hikes and criticising Tokyo’s restrictions on US rice imports has heightened trade policy uncertainty. Despite this, the US dollar has broadly […]

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Dollar Retreats Amid Leadership Uncertainty at the Federal Reserve 3

Dollar Retreats Amid Leadership Uncertainty at the Federal Reserve

The US dollar softened and Treasury yields declined as market participants priced in the increased probability of earlier-than-anticipated monetary easing by the Federal Reserve. The shift in expectations was triggered by reports that President Donald Trump may soon announce an early successor to Fed Chair Jerome Powell, potentially before the end of Q3 2025. While

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Monetary Policy Easing Expectations Strengthen Amid Mixed Signals from the Fed 5

Monetary Policy Easing Expectations Strengthen Amid Mixed Signals from the Fed

Markets exhibited cautious optimism as expectations for a US interest rate cut gained traction following nuanced remarks by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and a series of follow up statements by regional Fed officials. Despite maintaining a broadly patient tone, Powell acknowledged growing downside risks from softening inflation and weakening consumer sentiment, prompting Treasury traders

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Geopolitical Relief Triggers Market Reversal; Focus Shifts to Fed and Tariffs 7

Geopolitical Relief Triggers Market Reversal; Focus Shifts to Fed and Tariffs

Market sentiment improved modestly in early trading following a surprise announcement by US President Donald Trump that Israel and Iran have agreed to a provisional ceasefire. The development marks a potential de-escalation in a volatile two-week period of heightened geopolitical tension that had driven notable shifts across global financial markets. Crude oil retreated sharply on

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Geopolitical Crosscurrents Keep Markets on Edge Amid Rising Energy Risk 9

Geopolitical Crosscurrents Keep Markets on Edge Amid Rising Energy Risk

Financial markets remain deeply sensitive to geopolitical dynamics following the United States’ weekend strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities. The response from Tehran is still pending, though authorities have signaled all retaliatory options remain on the table. Crude oil markets have responded with renewed strength as traders reassess the risk of supply disruptions through the Strait

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Markets Brace for US Decision on Iran as Geopolitical Risk Clouds Global Outlook 11

Markets Brace for US Decision on Iran as Geopolitical Risk Clouds Global Outlook

Markets are treading carefully ahead of a critical geopolitical juncture, as the White House confirms that President Donald Trump will decide within two weeks whether the United States will join Israel in military action against Iran. While oil prices have moderated from earlier gains, market sentiment remains fragile amid elevated geopolitical tensions, a hawkish Fed

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Geopolitical Escalation and Sticky Inflation Reinforce Caution as Fed Holds; Dollar Firms Amid Market Repricing 13

Geopolitical Escalation and Sticky Inflation Reinforce Caution as Fed Holds; Dollar Firms Amid Market Repricing

Global markets enter a period of elevated caution as the United States weighs the potential for direct military engagement with Iran while the Federal Reserve signals concern over persistent inflation and tariff-linked uncertainty. The Fed held rates steady, but Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged that inflation pressures remain elevated, complicating the central bank’s path forward. With

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Geopolitical Escalation Undermines Confidence Ahead of Fed Decision, US Data Signals Fragility in Consumer and Industrial Sectors 15

Geopolitical Escalation Undermines Confidence Ahead of Fed Decision, US Data Signals Fragility in Consumer and Industrial Sectors

Financial markets are navigating a critical juncture as geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran escalate further and macroeconomic indicators suggest underlying vulnerabilities in the US economy. President Donald Trump’s demand for Iran’s “unconditional surrender” and the possibility of direct US military intervention have injected heightened volatility into markets already digesting a soft batch

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Trump’s Tehran Evacuation Call Rattles Markets Ahead of Fed Decision 17

Trump’s Tehran Evacuation Call Rattles Markets Ahead of Fed Decision

A volatile start to the week has traders navigating a fresh wave of geopolitical tension after President Donald Trump called for the evacuation of Tehran marking a stark shift from prior signs of de-escalation in the Israel-Iran conflict. The unexpected statement, posted on social media during the G7 summit in Alberta, sent ripples through global

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Markets Tread Cautiously as Middle East Conflict Lifts Oil and Cloud Global Outlook 19

Markets Tread Cautiously as Middle East Conflict Lifts Oil and Cloud Global Outlook

Global markets kicked off the week in a state of uneasy calm, as traders weighed the risk of escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East against a packed macro calendar led by central bank decisions and the upcoming G7 summit. Brent crude spiked as much as 5.5% in early Asia trade Monday following a weekend

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