Authorized and Regulated Entities: SARACEN MARKETS (PTY) LTD

Market Outlook

Markets Recalibrate as White House Delays EU Tariffs; Dollar Undermined by Policy Volatility 1

Markets Recalibrate as White House Delays EU Tariffs; Dollar Undermined by Policy Volatility

President Donald Trump’s delay of a planned 50% tariff on EU imports has provided temporary relief to financial markets, yet volatility remains elevated as trade policy continues to dominate macro risk narratives. Market response has been cautious, with the US dollar weakening to multi-month lows, safe-haven flows unwinding, and growing scrutiny over the dollar’s role […]

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Gold Reclaims Strategic Haven Status Amid Fiscal Fragility and Rising Global Tensions 3

Gold Reclaims Strategic Haven Status Amid Fiscal Fragility and Rising Global Tensions

Gold prices have resumed their upward momentum, breaking firmly above the critical $3,300 level amid a convergence of supportive macroeconomic and geopolitical tailwinds. The yellow metal is on course to record its strongest weekly gain since early April, supported by growing investor aversion to risk assets, ongoing political volatility, and deteriorating U.S. fiscal sustainability. Despite

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"Sell America" Trade Accelerates as Fiscal Strains Challenge Market Confidence 5

“Sell America” Trade Accelerates as Fiscal Strains Challenge Market Confidence

Global markets are undergoing renewed turbulence as investor confidence in the fiscal integrity of the United States continues to deteriorate. Long-term Treasury yields are rising sharply, equity valuations are adjusting lower, and credit spreads are widening all signaling broad market repricing around rising sovereign risk. At the heart of this rotation lies the resurgence of

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Geopolitical Flashpoints Reignite Market Volatility as Fed Caution and Fiscal Strains Deepen Investor Anxiety 7

Geopolitical Flashpoints Reignite Market Volatility as Fed Caution and Fiscal Strains Deepen Investor Anxiety

Markets entered a renewed phase of volatility on Tuesday following mounting geopolitical tension in the Middle East, resurgent concerns over US fiscal discipline, and a persistently cautious tone from Federal Reserve officials. Heightened speculation over a potential Israeli military strike on Iranian nuclear sites triggered a sharp pivot to risk-off sentiment, reinforcing investor sensitivity to

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U.S. Credit Downgrade Stokes ‘Sell America’ Sentiment as Long-End Yields Test 5% 9

U.S. Credit Downgrade Stokes ‘Sell America’ Sentiment as Long-End Yields Test 5%

Global markets opened the week facing renewed uncertainty surrounding the credibility of US fiscal policy following a sovereign credit downgrade by Moody’s Ratings. This triggered a sharp repricing across US bond markets and accelerated capital outflows from dollar-denominated assets. The downgrade, though widely anticipated, marks a critical inflection point in investor sentiment toward US policy stability, budgetary management,

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Dollar Slips as Market Eyes Fed Pivot; Tariff Truce Offers Only Temporary Relief 11

Dollar Slips as Market Eyes Fed Pivot; Tariff Truce Offers Only Temporary Relief

Financial markets settled into a cautious tone on Thursday as early-week momentum from trade optimism began to lose steam. A renewed decline in the US dollar, soft macroeconomic data, and a deeper dip in US Treasury yields suggest that market participants are recalibrating expectations for Federal Reserve policy amid growing signs of economic fragility. While

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Trade Truce Optimism Fades as Yields Rise and Fed Voices Diverge 13

Trade Truce Optimism Fades as Yields Rise and Fed Voices Diverge

Global financial markets stabilized midweek as the initial rally triggered by US-China trade de-escalation began to lose momentum. While corporate earnings and cross-border tech cooperation continued to lend support to risk assets, investors shifted focus toward macro fundamentals particularly the implications of rising US yields, mixed Federal Reserve messaging, and fragile geopolitical thawing. Markets are

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Traders Grapple With USD Softness as Global Tides Shift on Inflation, Trade Easing 15

Traders Grapple With USD Softness as Global Tides Shift on Inflation, Trade Easing

Financial markets are undergoing a recalibration as broad-based USD softness, shifting trade policies, and global inflation developments begin to reshape expectations around interest rates, capital flows, and risk sentiment. Tuesday’s softer US inflation print was the catalyst for a notable repricing of Fed policy expectations, reinforcing a dovish narrative that weighed on the dollar and reignited demand across risk

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Post-Tariff Relief Rally Faces Reality Check Amid Lingering Uncertainties 17

Post-Tariff Relief Rally Faces Reality Check Amid Lingering Uncertainties

Initial euphoria over the US-China tariff truce has begun to fade, as investors reassess the deeper economic implications of prolonged trade tensions and policy ambiguity. While Monday’s announcement of de-escalation offered a short-term reprieve, markets are now pricing in the complexities that still lie ahead particularly as Q3 approaches with unresolved tariff structures and fading

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Markets Brace for High-Stakes US-China Talks as UK Deal Sets the Stage for Trade Recalibration 19

Markets Brace for High-Stakes US-China Talks as UK Deal Sets the Stage for Trade Recalibration

Global financial markets enter a pivotal weekend as high-level US-China trade talks resume in Switzerland. This follows the tentative US-UK trade agreement unveiled earlier this week, which briefly lifted risk sentiment and sterling. However, investors remain acutely cautious, recognizing that negotiations with Beijing pose significantly greater geopolitical and economic complexity. While President Trump has signaled potential willingness to reduce tariffs

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