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Market Outlook

Geopolitical Escalation and Sticky Inflation Reinforce Caution as Fed Holds; Dollar Firms Amid Market Repricing 1

Geopolitical Escalation and Sticky Inflation Reinforce Caution as Fed Holds; Dollar Firms Amid Market Repricing

Global markets enter a period of elevated caution as the United States weighs the potential for direct military engagement with Iran while the Federal Reserve signals concern over persistent inflation and tariff-linked uncertainty. The Fed held rates steady, but Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged that inflation pressures remain elevated, complicating the central bank’s path forward. With […]

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Geopolitical Escalation Undermines Confidence Ahead of Fed Decision, US Data Signals Fragility in Consumer and Industrial Sectors 3

Geopolitical Escalation Undermines Confidence Ahead of Fed Decision, US Data Signals Fragility in Consumer and Industrial Sectors

Financial markets are navigating a critical juncture as geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran escalate further and macroeconomic indicators suggest underlying vulnerabilities in the US economy. President Donald Trump’s demand for Iran’s “unconditional surrender” and the possibility of direct US military intervention have injected heightened volatility into markets already digesting a soft batch

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Trump’s Tehran Evacuation Call Rattles Markets Ahead of Fed Decision 5

Trump’s Tehran Evacuation Call Rattles Markets Ahead of Fed Decision

A volatile start to the week has traders navigating a fresh wave of geopolitical tension after President Donald Trump called for the evacuation of Tehran marking a stark shift from prior signs of de-escalation in the Israel-Iran conflict. The unexpected statement, posted on social media during the G7 summit in Alberta, sent ripples through global

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Markets Tread Cautiously as Middle East Conflict Lifts Oil and Cloud Global Outlook 7

Markets Tread Cautiously as Middle East Conflict Lifts Oil and Cloud Global Outlook

Global markets kicked off the week in a state of uneasy calm, as traders weighed the risk of escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East against a packed macro calendar led by central bank decisions and the upcoming G7 summit. Brent crude spiked as much as 5.5% in early Asia trade Monday following a weekend

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US-China Preliminary Trade Accord Offers Relief, But Risks Remain Elevated 9

US-China Preliminary Trade Accord Offers Relief, But Risks Remain Elevated

Gold extended its rally early Thursday, climbing toward $3,380 and nearing levels not seen since May, as geopolitical risks in the Middle East and subdued U.S. inflation readings drove a flight to safety. Traders are bracing for another volatile session as attention shifts to today’s U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) report and ongoing geopolitical tensions

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US-China Preliminary Trade Accord Offers Relief, But Risks Remain Elevated 11

US-China Preliminary Trade Accord Offers Relief, But Risks Remain Elevated

A preliminary trade agreement between the United States and China has provided short-term relief to financial markets, with both sides signaling progress in implementing the consensus previously reached in Geneva. While the framework is viewed as a constructive step, material uncertainties persist including unresolved tensions in high-tech sectors and shifting leadership dynamics at the Federal

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Markets Cautiously Optimistic as US-China Trade Talks Resume, Yen Under Pressure Amid Dovish BOJ Signals 13

Markets Cautiously Optimistic as US-China Trade Talks Resume, Yen Under Pressure Amid Dovish BOJ Signals

Global financial markets entered the second day of US-China trade negotiations with cautious optimism as talks continued in London. Despite a lack of concrete breakthroughs, the constructive tone between delegates buoyed investor sentiment, while persistent trade frictions and tariff-induced disruptions underscore the fragility of recent risk-on positioning. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen weakened further after dovish

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Dollar Softens as Trade Optimism Builds, CPI and Treasury Supply in Focus 15

Dollar Softens as Trade Optimism Builds, CPI and Treasury Supply in Focus

The US dollar declined at the start of the week amid a moderation in geopolitical tensions and renewed hopes for progress in US-China trade talks. Market participants turned cautiously optimistic following constructive diplomatic signals and an encouraging US jobs report, though upcoming inflation data and Treasury auctions could challenge that sentiment. This week’s cross-asset dynamics

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Strong U.S. Labor Data Buoys Dollar, Tempers Recession Fears Amid Tariff Headwinds 17

Strong U.S. Labor Data Buoys Dollar, Tempers Recession Fears Amid Tariff Headwinds

A better-than-expected U.S. job openings report has injected a degree of resilience into the market narrative, temporarily easing fears that escalating trade tensions under the Trump administration could derail the domestic economy. While tariff pressures continue to mount, particularly with the doubling of steel and aluminum duties, labor market strength is lending credibility to the

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Dollar Regains Ground as Markets Eye Trump-Xi Breakthrough Amid Renewed Trade Frictions 19

Dollar Regains Ground as Markets Eye Trump-Xi Breakthrough Amid Renewed Trade Frictions

The US dollar extended gains against its G-10 peers on Tuesday, buoyed by rising demand for safe-haven assets as geopolitical tensions and global trade frictions re-escalated. While Treasury markets remained broadly stable, investor focus shifted decisively toward the possibility of renewed dialogue between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping. Market participants are

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