Authorized and Regulated Entities: SARACEN MARKETS (PTY) LTD

Author name: Market Outlook

Powell Signals Economic Resilience, Leaves Door Open on December Rate Cut 1

Powell Signals Economic Resilience, Leaves Door Open on December Rate Cut

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell underscored the resilience of the U.S. economy, stating that while he remains noncommittal on a December rate cut, he sees no imminent election-driven shift in policy. Powell further emphasized that he wouldn’t consider stepping aside if pressured by President Trump, signaling his firm commitment to the Fed’s independence. In remarks aimed […]

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Markets Shift Focus to China’s Expected Stimulus as Trump’s Victory Roils Markets 3

Markets Shift Focus to China’s Expected Stimulus as Trump’s Victory Roils Markets

Markets come to grips with Donald Trump’s U.S. presidential win, attention has swiftly turned toward China, where hopes are mounting for an imminent fiscal stimulus package aimed at reviving sluggish economic growth. Investors are speculating that Beijing will soon unveil a significant set of measures to boost domestic demand, providing much-needed support to consumer and property

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Treasury Yields Soar, Dollar Strengthens as Trump’s Election Momentum Shakes Markets 5

Treasury Yields Soar, Dollar Strengthens as Trump’s Election Momentum Shakes Markets

Treasury yields surged and the dollar posted its largest gain since February 2023 as Donald Trump’s strengthening election outlook spurred decisive moves across financial markets. U.S. stock futures extended gains, reflecting investor anticipation that a Trump administration could drive a stronger dollar through pro-growth initiatives, higher interest rates, and possible tariffs that collectively create a

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Dollar Steady as U.S. Election Looms; RBA Holds Rates, Fed Decision Awaits 7

Dollar Steady as U.S. Election Looms; RBA Holds Rates, Fed Decision Awaits

The dollar held steady as financial markets braced for a high-stakes U.S. presidential election, with polls indicating a razor-thin margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. Investor anxiety over a potentially contested result has raised concerns that the final vote count could stretch on for weeks, increasing the likelihood of elevated market volatility in the

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Central Banks, Oil, and U.S. Election Dominate Financial Markets as Fed, BOE, RBA Set to Announce Rate Decisions 9

Central Banks, Oil, and U.S. Election Dominate Financial Markets as Fed, BOE, RBA Set to Announce Rate Decisions

This week promises to be pivotal for global financial markets, as traders brace for central bank policy decisions from the Federal Reserve, Bank of England, and Reserve Bank of Australia all of which could significantly impact the global economic landscape. Simultaneously, oil prices are trending higher as OPEC+ delays a scheduled output increase, while geopolitical tensions involving

Central Banks, Oil, and U.S. Election Dominate Financial Markets as Fed, BOE, RBA Set to Announce Rate Decisions Read More »

Investor Rate Cut Bets Rise as JOLTS, Confidence Data Offer Mixed Signals on US Labor Market 11

Investor Rate Cut Bets Rise as JOLTS, Confidence Data Offer Mixed Signals on US Labor Market

Investor expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts in November and December gained momentum on Tuesday as the latest JOLTS job openings report and consumer confidence data pointed to a potentially softer economic landing in the US. Job openings, a critical indicator of labor demand, fell from 7.86 million in August to 7.44 million in September,

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Investors Brace for US Election, Key Economic Data as Fed’s Next Move Looms 13

Investors Brace for US Election, Key Economic Data as Fed’s Next Move Looms

Investors are on high alert as markets prepare for the upcoming U.S. election and a slate of critical economic data releases that could shape the Federal Reserve’s next interest rate decision. With polls indicating a tightly contested race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris, market participants are weighing the potential impact

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Yen Sinks on Japan’s Election Uncertainty, Eyes Turn to BOJ 15

Yen Sinks on Japan’s Election Uncertainty, Eyes Turn to BOJ

The yen tumbled to a nearly three-month low, slipping as much as 1% to 153.88 per dollar on Monday, after Japan’s ruling coalition missed securing a majority in parliament. The unexpected election outcome, resulting from Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s snap election gamble, has spurred concerns over potential political instability and dampened hawkish expectations for the Bank

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Treasury Yields Retreat as Market Reassesses Fed Cuts and Election Risks; Dollar Holds Steady 17

Treasury Yields Retreat as Market Reassesses Fed Cuts and Election Risks; Dollar Holds Steady

U.S. Treasury yields dipped for a second consecutive day as investors recalibrated expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, factoring in the risks surrounding the impending presidential election. The dollar held firm, poised for a fourth consecutive weekly gain, as earlier spikes in yields triggered a risk-off sentiment, prompting traders to pare back their bets on aggressive

Treasury Yields Retreat as Market Reassesses Fed Cuts and Election Risks; Dollar Holds Steady Read More »

US Dollar Strength and Treasury Yield Surge Weigh on Investor Sentiment, While Gold Eyes Recovery 19

US Dollar Strength and Treasury Yield Surge Weigh on Investor Sentiment, While Gold Eyes Recovery

The recent surge in U.S. Treasury yields and the strengthening of the U.S. dollar are dampening risk appetite in global markets, particularly in regions sensitive to U.S. monetary policy shifts. Investors are closely monitoring the Federal Reserve’s easing trajectory, with swap traders no longer fully convinced of interest rate cuts during the remaining two policy

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