Authorized and Regulated Entities: SARACEN MARKETS (PTY) LTD

Author name: Market Outlook

Global Sentiment Lifted by Trade De-escalation, but Policy Decisions and Data Loom as Pivotal Risk Catalysts 1

Global Sentiment Lifted by Trade De-escalation, but Policy Decisions and Data Loom as Pivotal Risk Catalysts

Global markets have entered the final week of July with renewed optimism, buoyed by signs of de-escalation in trade tensions and expectations of continued monetary policy support. The announcement of a formal US European Union trade agreement, alongside speculation that the US and China will extend their existing tariff truce, has alleviated fears of a […]

Global Sentiment Lifted by Trade De-escalation, but Policy Decisions and Data Loom as Pivotal Risk Catalysts Read More »

Gold Consolidates Below Key Levels Amid Rising Regional Tensions and Fed Policy Anticipation 3

Gold Consolidates Below Key Levels Amid Rising Regional Tensions and Fed Policy Anticipation

Gold prices experienced a modest retreat early Friday after testing the psychological support near $3,350, following a recent rally that brought the metal to five week highs. Despite this pullback, gold remains positioned for a weekly gain, reflecting the persistent demand for safe-haven assets amid escalating geopolitical risks and uncertainty ahead of major central bank

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US Policy Divide Deepens as Fed Officials Signal Divergent Paths Amid Political Pressure 5

US Policy Divide Deepens as Fed Officials Signal Divergent Paths Amid Political Pressure

Diverging signals from Federal Reserve policymakers, coupled with persistent political pressure on Chair Jerome Powell, continue to drive uncertainty across global markets. While strong labor data and improving retail sales support the underlying resilience of the US economy, an increasingly fractured policy environment raises critical questions about the central bank’s ability to maintain a consistent

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Dollar Rebounds Amid Fed Chair Uncertainty, But Institutional Risks Remain Elevated 7

Dollar Rebounds Amid Fed Chair Uncertainty, But Institutional Risks Remain Elevated

The US dollar regained ground in Thursday’s session after retreating sharply the day before, as market volatility subsided following President Trump’s attempt to defuse speculation about the premature removal of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. While the President’s comments restored some calm to financial markets, the broader risk surrounding central bank independence remains firmly in

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US Inflation Dampens Rate Cut Expectations, Dollar Holds Steady Amid Tariff Overhang 9

US Inflation Dampens Rate Cut Expectations, Dollar Holds Steady Amid Tariff Overhang

US inflation data for June has prompted market participants to scale back expectations of multiple interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2025. Although a September rate reduction is still on the table, its likelihood has been meaningfully downgraded. Strong labor market data earlier this month already tempered expectations, but with signs now emerging

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Markets on CPI Watch as Tariff Risks and Political Pressure Cloud US Rate Path 11

Markets on CPI Watch as Tariff Risks and Political Pressure Cloud US Rate Path

Markets enter the new week navigating a delicate equilibrium between renewed geopolitical tension, persistent political pressure on the US Federal Reserve, and the highly anticipated release of June’s US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. President Donald Trump’s latest 100% tariff threat on Russia, coupled with escalating criticism of Fed Chair Jerome Powell, has intensified uncertainty

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Markets Brace for Escalation as 30% Tariffs on EU and Mexico Amplify Trade Policy Uncertainty 13

Markets Brace for Escalation as 30% Tariffs on EU and Mexico Amplify Trade Policy Uncertainty

Financial markets began the week on a cautious note following President Donald Trump’s announcement of new 30% tariffs on imports from the European Union (EU) and Mexico. The policy development adds another layer of complexity to a trade landscape already destabilised by previous levies on a wide spectrum of US trading partners, including Canada, Brazil,

Markets Brace for Escalation as 30% Tariffs on EU and Mexico Amplify Trade Policy Uncertainty Read More »

Copper Tariffs Intensify 'Sell America' Narrative as Policy Divisions Emerge Within the Fed 15

Copper Tariffs Intensify ‘Sell America’ Narrative as Policy Divisions Emerge Within the Fed

Trade tensions escalated sharply following the formal announcement by President Donald Trump of a 50% tariff on copper imports, effective August 1. The move reinforces the administration’s protectionist trajectory and further unsettles global markets. Price action in commodity and currency markets indicates investors are beginning to internalise the broader inflationary and policy implications of Trump’s

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Market Sentiment Falters as Trump Signals Sharp Escalation in Commodity Tariffs 17

Market Sentiment Falters as Trump Signals Sharp Escalation in Commodity Tariffs

Global financial markets entered a renewed phase of caution following US President Donald Trump’s announcement of a higher than anticipated 50% tariff on metal imports, with additional levies targeting copper and pharmaceuticals reportedly under consideration. The abrupt escalation in trade policy has added to investor uncertainty, particularly given the lack of policy coherence and the

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Markets Steady as Trump Delays Tariff Escalation, Euro Gains on EU Deal Prospects 19

Markets Steady as Trump Delays Tariff Escalation, Euro Gains on EU Deal Prospects

Global markets began the week on a firmer footing after President Donald Trump temporarily deferred the implementation of newly announced tariffs, signalling an openness to further negotiations. The delay, alongside ongoing bilateral trade talks, has eased short term uncertainty, allowing risk sentiment to improve moderately. The US dollar weakened slightly, while the euro advanced amid

Markets Steady as Trump Delays Tariff Escalation, Euro Gains on EU Deal Prospects Read More »