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Softer than expected CPI and PPI readings reinforce the picture of a two-speed Chinese economy, with strong exports and factory output

US July non-farm payrolls -23K vs +80K expectedCanada July employment change +75.1K vs +15K expectedCanada and the US discussing tariff relief

The US labour market debate is divided. Ask consumers and they'll tell you hiring conditions are the worst since the mid-2010s

Comments from an unnamed US official via Reuters are weighing on oil:US actions will continue to be performance-based and tied to

Here's the map.Monday, August 10Berkshire Hathaway kicks off the week, and it's the purest macro statement on the calendar: the size

Oil +3 to 454Nat gas -3 to 124The US hasn't been able to bring on much oil production since Trump came

Bitcoin holds $65,000 after weak US jobs report and crypto bill delay: Is the breakout still alive?Bitcoin futures remain marginally constructive

One year inflation 3.6% vs 3.7%Three year inflation unchanged at 3.3%Five year inflation unchanged at 3.0%Current and expected personal finances improvedLabor

Comments from Barkin:Job data was very consistent wit ha sector in weak balanceJob data is more low hire, low fireThe jobs

The Globe & Mail is out with a somewhat optimistic report on the Canadian trade situation and, in turn, the Canadian

The US non-farm payrolls report pointed to an economy significantly worse than believed.The data showed the economy shedding 23K jobs in

Prior was +57K (revised to +20K)Two-month net revision -103KMay was +129KUnemployment rate 4.1% vs 4.2% expectedPrior unemployment rate 4.2%Unrounded unemployment 4.0900%

Prior month +18.2KUnemployment rate 6.4% vs 6.5% expectedPrior 6.5%Full-time employment +38.6K vs +0.6K priorPart-time employment +36.6K vs +17.5K priorParticipation rate 65.1%

Headlines:All eyes on the US jobs report nowWhat is the distribution of forecasts for the US NFP?Gold stays supported amid Middle

Rate hikes by year-endRBNZ: 50 bps (85% probability of rate hike at the next meeting)ECB: 33 bps (75% probability of rate hike at the next meeting)Fed: 32 bps

Weak NFP Flips Fed Bets, but Oil Keeps Markets Trapped in Tug-of-War

July's shockingly weak NFP report flipped September Fed odds toward a hold, but with Brent still above $80 and the Strait

NFP Shock Sends Dollar Lower and Gold Above 4,300, but Geopolitical Risks Rise

Why weak payrolls broke the week’s stalemate, and why Hormuz, Saudi warnings and US-China tensions mean the move isn’t a simple

USD/JPY Faces NFP With Intervention Risk Creating an Asymmetric Trade

USD/JPY has recovered a third of last week's intervention-driven losses, but Friday's payrolls report sets up an asymmetric trade — a

Markets Pause as Hormuz Optimism Awaits Proof

Why gains across equities, yields, Gold, FX and oil all stalled at once as the promised Hormuz breakthrough failed to arrive

Gold’s Rally Looks Real. Three Markets Will Decide Whether It Reaches 4,500

Gold's rebound has technical and macro confirmation behind it, but whether it extends toward 4,500 depends on three interlinked markets —

Dollar Slips as Weak ADP Reinforces Fading Fed Hike Bets

Weak US ADP employment data (44k, well below expectations) reinforced the market's already-building conviction that the Fed has room to hold

AUD/USD Is Rising. Why Isn’t It Rising Faster?

AUD/USD is rallying on improving risk sentiment and a softer Dollar, but the same falling oil prices driving that optimism are

Silver Breakout Attempt Builds as Hormuz Hopes Reshape Fed Expectations

Silver has returned above $60 as growing optimism over a Strait of Hormuz reopening pulls oil lower, reshapes Fed rate expectations,

Markets Cheer as Bessent Sees Hormuz Reopening Soon. Why Doesn’t Brent Oil Break $80?

Why Brent’s failure to break below $80 reveals lingering doubt about Bessent’s Hormuz optimism What’s happening: Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said

Two Things Stand Between GBP/CAD and an Upside Breakout

GBP/CAD looks ready to resume its uptrend after rebounding from the 55-day EMA, but a sustained breakout depends on two separate

AUD/NZD Pressured as Inflation Backs More RBNZ Tightening, Jobs Need Only Confirm It

With markets already convinced the RBA is done hiking, tomorrow's New Zealand employment report matters less for whether the RBNZ turns

Yen Strength Squeezes Into Crosses as USD/JPY Defends 155… For Now

Why confirmed US-Japan intervention pushed Yen strength into the crosses instead of breaking USD/JPY below 155 What’s happening: Japan and the

Why Gold Ignores Oil, Yields and Dollar—And What Could Finally Break the Range

Gold has barely moved despite dramatic swings in oil, Treasury yields, and the Dollar over the past month — because the

Why Japan and US Confirm Intervention So Fast? Can USD/JPY Hold 155?

Washington and Tokyo abandoned decades of deliberate ambiguity by confirming their coordinated Yen intervention within hours, turning the confirmation itself into

Dollar Hit by Intervention Despite Bullish Macro Factors. Correction or Reversal?

The Dollar fell despite a hawkish Fed vote, rising yields, and rebounding oil — all bullish macro signals — as Japan's

Data source: FXStreet, Finance Magnates, DailyFX, Investing.com, Forexlive and Action Forex
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