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The early dip is modest, which suggests traders see the Russia waiver as a supply cushion rather than a game-changer while

For oil, China’s position as the largest crude importer makes this release a demand signal at a sensitive moment, with the

A wider trade gap is a modest negative for the New Zealand dollar at the margin, since a larger external deficit

A reading barely above 50 does little to shift the outlook for the New Zealand dollar, which takes its lead from

Data from China the focus on the ecnomic info agenda. I'll get a preview posted separately.  This article was written by

The drop in EUR/AUD is a euro story first, which makes it vulnerable to a partial reversal once main Asian centres

The unrest adds a domestic political risk layer to the euro, which was already softer in early Asia-Pacific trade, and to

The warning adds a fresh transatlantic trade risk to a market that had largely treated EU digital regulation as a compliance

The euro is lower in early Asia-Pacific trade, though liquidity is very thin with New Zealand effectively the only FX market

Early FX indications, I'll be back with weekend news soon, US equities soft in weekend trading so far. EUR/USD 1.1191, showing lower

S&P 500 forecast after the AI bubble panic: Why Friday's selloff is not yet a major bearish reversalFriday's selloff in AI

BOJ’s Ueda: We will continue to raise rates as underlying inflation approaches 2%US September import price index +1.1% vs +0.8% expectedUS

It will be another weekend of pain at the fuel pumps.WTI crude oil is finishing the week at the highest since

September 2025 was a $198B surplusOutlays $585B vs $346B a year agoReceipts $558B vs $544B a year agoFY2026 deficit $1.992 trillion

The pressure is back on tech stocks today, led by CoreWeave once again.The market continues to smell a rat in the

Dollar Extends Slide as Fed Warsh Refuses to Revive October Hike Bets

The Dollar extended its broad-based decline on Friday as Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh offered no indication that another rate hike

GBP/USD Rebounds on Dollar Weakness, but EUR/GBP and GBP/CHF Hold the Sterling Verdict

GBP/USD Rebounds on Dollar Weakness, but EUR/GBP and GBP/CHF Hold the Sterling Verdict TL;DR: GBP/USD has rebounded sharply from 1.3135, but

Hot US PPI Fails to Lift Yields as AI Credit Fears Put Nasdaq at a Tipping Point

US producer inflation surged far beyond expectations on Thursday, retail sales beat forecasts and layoffs remained contained, yet Treasury yields continued

AUD/NZD and AUD/USD Turn Lower as Markets Price Less Than One More RBA Hike After Jobs Shock

Australia's September employment contracted by 39,300 and unemployment held at 4.7%, driving interest-rate markets to price less than one more 25bp

AI Credit Fears Eclipse Hot CPI as Treasury Yields Reverse and Dollar Loses Haven Bid

A hot US CPI briefly sent the 10-year yield to 5.329% and DXY to 102.945, but both reversed sharply as AI

Dollar Breaks Higher as Core CPI Pushes October Fed Hike Odds Above 40%

The Dollar surged broadly on Wednesday after September’s US core CPI beat expectations, reversing the recent retreat in Treasury yields. The

Silver Breaks Support Despite Lower Yields. Is $50 Back in Sight?

Silver slipped below last week's 58.46 low to touch 58.39 even as Treasury yields and the Dollar fell, while the Gold/Silver

Dollar Softens as Yields Fall, but IMF Warns They Could Spike Again

The Dollar Weakened Broadly but Modestly as Treasury Yields Extended Their Retreat What’s happening: The Dollar weakened broadly but modestly on

US Treasury Yields Have Turned Lower. Will the Dollar Follow Before CPI?

The US 10-year yield fell toward 5.19% on Tuesday, extending its retreat from last week's 5.365% peak, but the Dollar Index

Bitcoin and Ether Bounce From a Second Liquidation Wave. Is the Correction Over?

Bitcoin and Ether have defended nearly identical support twice in less than a week—Bitcoin near 80,365–80,953 and Ether near 2,407—but neither

Oil’s Ceasefire Relief Fades as Ukraine Doubts and Saudi Attacks Revive Risk Premium

An Announced De-Escalation Is Not Yet a Credible Reduction in Disruption Risks What’s happening: Oil reversed sharply higher on Monday as

Will RBA Minutes or Australian Jobs Finally Give AUD a Direction of Its Own?

The Australian Dollar remains directionless as RBA hike-timing bets stay split across November, December and February, leaving AUD/NZD, AUD/CAD and GBP/AUD

Gold and Silver Find a Bottoming Setup, But US CPI Must Confirm the Turn in Treasury Yields

Gold and Silver have rebounded on a retreat in US Treasury yields, with Gold breaking its falling trendline and Silver bouncing

Has the Dollar Rally Stalled, or Is It Already Waiting for the Midterms?

TL;DR: The Dollar rally has lost momentum rather than direction. DXY stalled at 102.232 as Fed urgency faded, long-end Treasury yields

Trump Delays Iran Strike, But Dollar’s Oil-and-Yield Support Is Not Gone

The Dollar weakened modestly since late Thursday, then recovered against the Euro, Sterling and Canadian Dollar during the European morning, with

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