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The ECB will probably need to hike in JuneThe ECB must show commitment to 2% target to stay credibleMedium-term inflation expectations
Rate hikes by year-endRBNZ: 76 bps (70% probability of no change at the next meeting)ECB: 64 bps (88% probability of rate
The latest bullish call comes from UBS Global Wealth Management, who revised their year-end target for the S&P 500 to 7,900.
FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEWUSD:The US dollar came under a little bit of pressure yesterday following claims from Al-Arabiya that a US-Iran draft agreement
Business climate index 84.9 vs 84.2 expectedPrior 84.4; revised to 84.5Current conditions 86.1 vs 85.1 expectedPrior 85.4Expectations 83.8 vs 83.5 expectedPrior
FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEWUSD:The US dollar came under a little bit of pressure yesterday following claims from Al-Arabiya that a US-Iran draft agreement
Business confidence 94 vs 94 expectedPrior 94Services confidence 93Prior 94Industrial confidence 102Prior 100The French business climate remains gloomy, with yet another
EUROPEAN SESSIONIn the European session, the main highlight was the UK retail sales report. The data missed expectations across the board
Retail sales -1.3% vs -0.6% m/m expectedPrior +0.7%; revised to +0.6%Retail sales 0.0% vs +1.3% y/y expectedPrior +1.7%; revised to +1.4%Retail
Q1 GDP +0.3% vs +0.3% q/q prelimPrior +0.3%The estimate here is very much old news as the focus turns to how
GfK consumer sentiment -29.8 vs -34.0 expectedPrior -33.3; revised to -33.1German consumer sentiment is seen recovering slightly heading into June, amid
This just reconfirms what was already aired by the IRNA. The meet up again is "to review proposals for resolving the
ETHUSD remains vulnerable below 2,155-2,160 as ETF outflows weighEthereum is trying to stabilize near 2,130, but today’s ETHUSD structure still favors
There are just a few expiries to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold below.The first ones are
There have been plenty of mixed headlines in the past 24 hours. So, let's do our best to catch up and
EUR/CAD has remained trapped in a broad sideways range after rebounding to 1.6247 in early April, with neither Euro nor Canadian
Silver has endured a violent reversal in the past two weeks, swinging from near $90 to the mid-$70s as geopolitical panic
Forex markets remained trapped within yesterday’s ranges as investors struggled to find fresh conviction amid conflicting signals surrounding the US-Iran conflict.
Sterling strengthened broadly on this week, but the rebound was driven less by optimism over the UK economy and more by
The Aussie tried to rally on improving global sentiment. Australia’s economy had other ideas. AUD/USD bounced earlier today as markets reacted
Risk sentiment stabilized somewhat today as Brent crude eased back below $109 and US equity futures pointed to a modest recovery
Bitcoin’s latest rally is starting to look less like the beginning of a new bull run and more like a distribution
This week, US 10-year Treasury yield has surged through its March-April range in a violent breakout that has pushed yields to
The sharp rise in US Treasury yields remains one of the dominant macro themes in global markets this week, with the
Sterling softened after the latest UK labor market data reinforced expectations that the Bank of England is likely to adopt a
Australian Dollar weakened broadly in the Asian session as renewed selloff in regional equities, disappointing Chinese data, and softer near-term RBA
Markets stopped panicking — for now. After opening the week with a sharp risk-off move driven by surging oil prices and
Markets are beginning the week with a familiar but dangerous message: oil higher, yields higher, Dollar higher. Brent crude blasted above
Global financial markets entered a far more dangerous macro phase last week as the underwhelming Trump-Xi summit failed to deliver meaningful
Risk sentiment deteriorated sharply today as investors concluded that the Trump-Xi summit failed to deliver a credible diplomatic breakthrough on the
Data source: FXStreet, Finance Magnates, DailyFX, Investing.com, Forexlive and Action Forex
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