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FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEWUSD:The US dollar extended the losses on Friday following a barrage of positive news on the US-Iran front that seemed

This is almost an exact reoccurrence to what we saw in December last year, with the same sort of tsunami warning

US proposals have been 'unserious', and its demands 'unrealistic'Tehran has clearly stated its demands and will not change themWe do not

The highlight for Monday will be Canada's CPI release. This will be followed by New Zealand's inflation data on Tuesday, which

Differences over nuclear programme remain unresolvedThe gaps have not narrowedContinuation of US blockade on the Strait of Hormuz undermines efforts for

FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEWOil prices plunged on Friday following a barrage of positive news. It all started with an Axios report saying that

It is reported that Pakistan has intensified its diplomatic contacts since Sunday so as to try and get the US and

The March data shows:Producer prices (monthly) +2.5% m/mProducer prices (annual) -0.2% y/yThat isn't a surprise with the jump being largely from

EUROPEAN SESSIONIn the European session, we don't have anything on the agenda. The focus remains on US-Iran headlines with the latest

There are just a few to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold below.The first being for EUR/USD

It's going to be another messy week, innit? Hopes for peace talks did not last long as Iran refused any concessions

Progress seen but core issues divide US and IranIndia and South Korea target $50bn trade as both seek deeper economic tiesCarney

US-Iran gaps are said to have narrowed, but disputes over nuclear limits, uranium stockpiles, Hormuz access and sanctions relief remain unresolved,

Summary:South Korea’s Lee visits India for first time in eight years Target to double trade to $50bn by 2030 Focus on

Canada PM Carney said US ties are now a weakness as tariffs rise, signalling a push to diversify trade and investment

US-Iran Ceasefire Frays as Tensions Rise; Dollar Firms While Markets Hold Steady

Markets began the week with a measured response to intensifying US–Iran tensions, even as the ceasefire showed visible signs of strain.

Diplomacy or Return to Conflict? Hormuz Closes Again, Oil Signals Path Into Ceasefire Cliff

The market narrative has flipped again—and the stakes are rising. The abrupt shift in the Strait of Hormuz—from briefly “open” to

Markets Aggressively Price US-Iran Deal as Hormuz Reopens, Oil and Dollar Fall

Dollar tumbles again in early US session as oil prices dive on fresh geopolitical progress. A sharp selloff has pushed WTI

Markets Shift from Chasing to Waiting Ahead of Key US-Iran Talks Weekend

The market narrative is shifting from chasing the risk rally to waiting for confirmation. After a sustained push higher driven by

Risk Appetite Holds Firm Near Highs as ECB Pushback Caps Euro, Aussie Outperforms

Risk sentiment remains firm, but momentum is no longer accelerating. Markets are holding near recent highs as optimism over Middle East

Aussie Leads as Risk Optimism Builds, Strong Jobs Push AUD/USD Toward 0.72 Break

Aussie strength is telling the story of markets today. The currency has emerged as the top performer, driven by a combination

Risk Rally Stalls as Front-Running Peaks, Markets Await Deliverables from Second US-Iran Talks

Risk rally is pausing as anticipation gives way to verification. Equity gains are stalling near record levels as markets move from

Dollar Stays Weak as Trump Pivots from ‘Maximum Pressure’ to ‘Reconstruction Mode’ in Iran

The war premium is fading—and with it, the Dollar’s support. The greenback stayed under pressure in Asian session as oil prices

Dollar Selloff Intensifies as Soft PPI Eases Fed Pressure, US-Iran Optimism Builds

Dollar is being hit from both sides—soft inflation and warmer diplomacy. A cooler-than-expected PPI reading has eased pressure on the Federal

Dollar Selloff Resumes as Markets Price Second Round of US-Iran Talks, War Premium Unwinds

Dollar is under broad selling pressure today, giving back its war premium as markets pivot back to diplomacy. Yesterday’s pessimism is

Markets in ‘Geopolitical Purgatory’: Is Oil Price at $100 Expensive or Cheap?

Markets are strikingly calm despite the breakdown in Islamabad talks, not because risks are low—but because nothing has been decided yet.

Markets Calm as Oil Price Holds Below Crisis Levels, Dollar Gains but Lacks Conviction

Markets stayed composed in early trading, with oil holding below crisis levels despite renewed tensions around the Strait of Hormuz. Brent

Dollar at Risk of Sharp Selloff if Markets Front-Run Islamabad Accord on Progress in US-Iran Talks

Attention is firmly on Islamabad as the United States and Iran begin their first high-level talks since the onset of war,

Dollar Slips as CPI Fails to Rattle Fed’s Transitory View, Islamabad Talks Awaited

Dollar is back under mild pressure as US trading gets underway, with markets reacting to a softer-than-feared inflation report from the

US CPI Surge Expected, but Pass-Through Speed and Inflation Expectations Key for Fed

A sharp rise in US CPI is all but certain, with March inflation expected to accelerate from 2.4% yoy to 3.4%

Data source: FXStreet, Finance Magnates, DailyFX, Investing.com, Forexlive and Action Forex
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