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FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW Bitcoin has been consolidating since last Wednesday, with ongoing US-Iran tensions keeping a lid of further gains. The backdrop has

The sanctions fight against Iran isn't just playing out through traditional means anymore. While oil exports and banks remain the bigger

Prior +3.3%HICP +4.1% vs +3.8% y/y expectedPrior +3.2%Italy's preliminary September inflation data showed a significant acceleration in price pressures, with the

FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW Gold has been pulling back from the Monday’s lows as renewed optimism around US-Iran talks helped ease the tensions. Both

Well, the latest German state CPI readings are starting to paint a fairly clear picture ahead of the national report later today.The

Germany September unemployment change 12k vs 1k expectedPrior 4kGermany September unemployment rate 6.4% vs 6.4% expectedPrior 6.4%The breakdownGerman unemployment rose significantly

Central bank meetings are among the most important events on the market calendar, but traders do not listen to policymakers only

Eurostoxx +0.6%Germany DAX +0.8%France CAC 40 +0.4%UK FTSE +0.8%Spain IBEX +0.8%Italy FTSE MIB +0.7%It is a solid start across Europe as

France September preliminary CPI +3.0% vs +2.8% y/y expectedPrior +2.4%France September preliminary HICP +3.4% vs +3.1% y/y expectedPrior +2.6%The breakdownThe pickup

EUROPEAN SESSIONIn the European session, we get the French and German inflation data. The French HICP Y/Y is expected at 3.2%

Germany August retail sales +1.3% vs +1.5% m/m expectedPrior -3.4%The breakdownThe rebound here is notable, even if it misses on forecasts

Germany August import prices +1.0% vs +0.7% m/m expectedPrior +0.2%Germany August import prices +8.3% vs +8.0% y/y expectedPrior +6.8%The breakdownImport prices

UK Q2 final GDP +0.5% vs +0.4% q/q prelimPrior (Q1) +0.6%UK Q2 final GDP +1.4% vs +1.2% y/y prelimPrior (Q1) +0.9%The

There are two notable expiry levels to watch out for on the day, as highlighted in bold below.The first one is

German inflation will be one of the main economic data points to watch out for in European trading today, with the

Sterling Broadens Gains as BoE Repricing Builds and UK GDP Confirms Resilience; EUR/GBP Presses Breakdown, GBP/CHF Tests Breakout

Sterling's rally started before today's stronger UK GDP data—markets now price an 89.2% probability of a November BoE hike and a

Why Are EUR/JPY and AUD/JPY Breaking When USD/JPY Is Barely Moving?

EUR/JPY and AUD/JPY have broken key technical support this week, but the weekly performance breakdown shows only 0.1–0.3 percentage points of

Dollar Rally Stalls as Yields and Oil Retreat Ahead of PCE, ISM and NFP

DXY has reached 101.30 and is testing 101.63–101.80 resistance near a two-month high, but the rally's momentum is flattening as two

Silver Has More Premium to Lose Than Gold as Yields Rise and Industrial Tightness Eases

Gold and Silver both sold off as the U.S. 10-year yield surged to a fresh multi-decade high near 5.232%, but BMO

RBA Hiked Unanimously—Then Bullock’s “Hope” Sent Aussie Through 0.7000 Support

The RBA raised rates 25bp to 4.60% unanimously with hawkish statement language, yet AUD/USD reversed sharply after Governor Michele Bullock said

Yen Surges on Tokyo Warning, but Oil and Yields Still Set the Broader FX Tone

Yen surged broadly Monday, pushing USD/JPY through 157, after Japan's Vice Finance Minister Atsushi Mimura sharpened Tokyo's intervention warning, saying markets

Bitcoin Faces a Five-Wave Reckoning at 85,132, but 100K Is Still in Play

Bitcoin may have completed a five-wave advance at 87,354, with 85,131.78 the pivot that decides whether the correction starts—but a pullback

Gold’s Rate Problem Turns Technical as 4,230 Fibonacci Support Gives Way

Gold broke below 4,200 on Monday after taking out 4,234.68 and the 61.8% retracement at 4,230.70, turning a persistent oil-to-rates headwind

How Much Further Can the Dollar Run After Last Week’s Broad Rally?

The Dollar Index closed near 101.03 after a hawkish Fed-driven rally, but it’s now approaching genuine resistance at 101.80–102.86 rather than

Dollar Pares Weekly Gains as Yen Rebounds on Intervention Signals

Today’s themes: Dollar: gave back part of this week’s yield-driven rally, weaker against EUR, JPY, GBP, CHF, AUD and NZD (CAD

AUD/USD Tests 0.7000 as Markets Look Beyond an Almost Certain RBA Hike

The Australian Dollar is the week’s worst-performing major currency even with a September RBA hike to 4.60% essentially fully priced—the weakness

Gold Survived the Yield Shock. Can It Survive Yields Staying Above 5%?

Gold has held its 4,230.70 support through a sharp Treasury yield surge to multi-decade highs, but the real test isn’t whether

Dollar Surges as Fed Hike Bets, Oil Chokepoint Risk and China Trade Uncertainty Converge

Dollar strengthened against every major currency Thursday as three drivers moved together: October Fed hike odds surged to 77.5%, from roughly

October Fed Hike Odds Hit 70%, US Yield Breakout Puts EUR/USD at Risk

October Fed hike odds have surged to 69.7% on a booming flash PMI, driving the 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields to

Dollar and Loonie Rise Together as Brent Reclaims $100 After Round Trip

Brent completed a round trip, falling into the low $98s on Tuesday as traders priced a faster Hormuz reopening, then reclaiming

Data source: FXStreet, Finance Magnates, DailyFX, Investing.com, Forexlive and Action Forex
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