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Market Outlook

US PPI Spike Erodes Aggressive Fed Cut Bets; All Eyes on Trump - Putin Summit 1

US PPI Spike Erodes Aggressive Fed Cut Bets; All Eyes on Trump – Putin Summit

Traders are dialing back expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut next month after US wholesale inflation surged at the fastest pace in three years. The July Producer Price Index delivered an upside surprise, suggesting tariff driven import costs are being passed through to consumers  a warning shot for those banking on aggressive policy easing. […]

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CPI Keeps Fed Cut Hopes Alive, Focus Shifts to Retail Sales 5

CPI Keeps Fed Cut Hopes Alive, Focus Shifts to Retail Sales

US consumer prices offered traders a dose of relief, keeping September Fed rate cut expectations intact despite signs of firming in underlying inflation. Headline CPI showed goods prices rising only modestly, tempering fears that tariff-driven cost pressures could spill into broader inflation trends. Core inflation, however, registered its fastest gain since January, hinting at stickier

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Trump’s Trade Truce Calms Nerves — CPI Could Flip the Script in Minutes 7

Trump’s Trade Truce Calms Nerves — CPI Could Flip the Script in Minutes

Markets are breathing easier after President Donald Trump signaled a partial easing on chip sales to China and extended the tariff truce until November 10. The move removes an immediate threat to global trade stability and has helped lift sentiment in risk assets ahead of the US inflation release later today. The pause in tariff escalation

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Geopolitics Meets Data: High Impact Moves on the Horizon 9

Geopolitics Meets Data: High Impact Moves on the Horizon

This week’s trading landscape is dominated by two catalysts US-Russia peace diplomacy and US inflation data  both capable of swinging markets sharply in either direction. On Friday, US President Donald Trump meets Russian President Vladimir Putin in a bid to end the three year Ukraine conflict. Optimism, boosted by weekend talks in London between US, European, and Ukrainian security

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Gold Retreats From Highs, But Tariff Shock and Fed Uncertainty Keep Bulls in Control 11

Gold Retreats From Highs, But Tariff Shock and Fed Uncertainty Keep Bulls in Control

Gold prices pulled back sharply from two week highs early Friday, snapping a strong upward move after briefly touching $3,410 an ounce. The retracement appears more a case of tactical profit taking than a shift in broader sentiment, as traders position ahead of next week’s pivotal US inflation data. Despite the dip, gold remains poised for a

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Gold Catches a Bid as Markets Price In Policy Pivot, Tariff Tensions Resurface 13

Gold Catches a Bid as Markets Price In Policy Pivot, Tariff Tensions Resurface

Gold edged higher early Thursday, recovering quickly from yesterday’s mild pullback as traders rotate back into safe-haven assets. The yellow metal remains underpinned by growing conviction that the Federal Reserve is nearing a policy shift, with the US economy flashing signs of fatigue and geopolitical risk mounting once again. The dollar slipped as investors doubled

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Trade Turbulence and Weak Services Data Complicate Fed Path, Roil Global Outlook 15

Trade Turbulence and Weak Services Data Complicate Fed Path, Roil Global Outlook

A fresh wave of global trade uncertainty and downbeat US economic signals is challenging investor confidence and clouding the outlook for central bank policy, just as rate cut expectations peak. President Donald Trump signaled that new tariffs targeting key sectors will be unveiled “within the next week,” keeping markets on edge. At the same time, Japan’s top trade

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Rate Cut Bets Accelerate as Labor Data Fuels Fed Pivot Narrative 17

Rate Cut Bets Accelerate as Labor Data Fuels Fed Pivot Narrative

Investor conviction around an imminent Federal Reserve rate cut deepened on Monday, following a sharply disappointing US labor market report that rattled risk assets and pushed Treasury yields lower. Equities have since staged a recovery, led by US tech, as traders weigh the balance between recession risk and resilient corporate performance. Interest rate futures now imply a

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Trump’s Tariff Escalation Triggers Policy Fog as Markets Brace for NFP Print 19

Trump’s Tariff Escalation Triggers Policy Fog as Markets Brace for NFP Print

President Donald Trump has reignited global trade uncertainty, unveiling a sweeping new tariff regime that includes a 10% global minimum duty and elevated levies of 15% or higher on countries maintaining trade surpluses with the United States. The move marks the latest effort by the administration to overhaul global commerce through a protectionist lens one that risks further unsettling

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