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Market Outlook

Dollar Rebounds, but Shutdown Risks Keep Traders on Edge 1

Dollar Rebounds, but Shutdown Risks Keep Traders on Edge

The US dollar clawed back ground in early Wednesday trading, though sentiment remains fragile as markets weigh the risk of a government shutdown on October 1. Gold, meanwhile, is mirroring the retracement seen during Asia hours on Tuesday, with investors pausing ahead of a heavy slate of Federal Reserve commentary and Friday’s release of the […]

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Gold Climbs to Record as Fed Signals Take Center Stage 3

Gold Climbs to Record as Fed Signals Take Center Stage

Gold surged to fresh record highs as resilient US economic data and the Federal Reserve’s first rate cut of the year continue to shape investor sentiment. Traders now turn their focus to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks later Tuesday, seeking clarity on the central bank’s next steps amid lingering labor market fragility. The Fed’s preferred

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Fed Cuts, But Powell Stresses “No Risk Free Path” 5

Fed Cuts, But Powell Stresses “No Risk Free Path”

The Federal Reserve delivered its first rate cut since December, but Chair Jerome Powell reminded investors that monetary policy remains a balancing act. Calling the quarter point move a “risk management cut,” Powell signaled officials are not embarking on an unchecked easing cycle, even as they penciled in two additional reductions this year one more than projected

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Cooling Jobs Market Forces Fed’s Hand as CPI Stays Manageable 7

Cooling Jobs Market Forces Fed’s Hand as CPI Stays Manageable

A softer inflation print paired with fresh evidence of labor market strain has sharpened expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut rates next week, marking its first move of the year. The data reinforced the narrative that policymakers are running out of room to delay easing as the economy slows. The consumer price index showed inflation

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US PPI Surprise Fuels Rate Cut Debate Ahead of CPI Test 9

US PPI Surprise Fuels Rate Cut Debate Ahead of CPI Test

US producer prices unexpectedly fell in August, offering policymakers some breathing room as they weigh how aggressively to ease policy in response to slowing jobs momentum. The decline, the first in four months, has intensified speculation about the Federal Reserve’s September decision, with markets now openly debating whether Chair Jerome Powell will deliver a 25 or 50

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Markets Ride Rate Cut Optimism as Ishiba’s Exit Ripples Across Asia 11

Markets Ride Rate Cut Optimism as Ishiba’s Exit Ripples Across Asia

Global markets are entering the week with risk appetite on the rise, fueled by a surge in bets that the Federal Reserve will cut rates this month and ease further into year end. Equities extended gains as investors embraced the prospect of looser financial conditions, while haven demand pushed gold to fresh record highs and weighed on

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Soft Payrolls Turbocharge Fed Cut Bets as Yen Slips on Ishiba Exit 14

Soft Payrolls Turbocharge Fed Cut Bets as Yen Slips on Ishiba Exit

Traders enter the new week recalibrating rate expectations after Friday’s weak US payrolls signaled a deeper slowdown in hiring. Fed funds futures now lean heavily toward an outsized policy move in September, while Asian FX is contending with fresh political headlines out of Tokyo. Fed Easing Narrative Accelerates A softer than expected US jobs report

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Fed Easing Bets Solidify as Job Openings Hit 10-Month Low 17

Fed Easing Bets Solidify as Job Openings Hit 10-Month Low

A softer US labor signal has tightened market conviction that the Federal Reserve will begin cutting rates this month. Job openings slid to their lowest level in nearly a year, reinforcing the view that hiring momentum is cooling and that policymakers will pivot sooner rather than later. Labor Market Undercurrent The latest JOLTS report showed

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Gold at Records as Bond Turmoil and Political Risks Push Traders Into Havens 19

Gold at Records as Bond Turmoil and Political Risks Push Traders Into Havens

Gold touched fresh record highs before retreating early Wednesday, as a global bond selloff and deepening political strains drove demand for safe haven assets. The US dollar also held firm, underscoring how traders are recalibrating exposure amid a volatile start to September. With long end yields surging across major economies and market confidence rattled, the

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Gold Surges to Record as Fed Cut Bets Dominate a Risk-Laden September 21

Gold Surges to Record as Fed Cut Bets Dominate a Risk-Laden September

Global markets enter September under heavy crosscurrents, traders are betting the Federal Reserve will ease policy this month, even as geopolitical frictions, tariff battles, and questions over central bank independence cloud the outlook. Gold hit fresh records Tuesday, underscoring demand for havens in a landscape where both politics and economics are testing investor conviction. Fed in

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