Authorized and Regulated Entities: SARACEN MARKETS (PTY) LTD

Author name: Market Outlook

Dollar Weakens Further as Trade Uncertainty, OPEC+ Supply Shift Undermine U.S. Market Sentiment 1

Dollar Weakens Further as Trade Uncertainty, OPEC+ Supply Shift Undermine U.S. Market Sentiment

The global financial landscape is once again tilting toward risk aversion as investors recalibrate expectations around U.S. trade policy, dollar strength, and commodity markets. A retreat in the greenback, weakness in U.S. equity-index futures, and an unexpected supply-side move from OPEC+ have all converged to reinforce a “Sell America” narrative that is gaining momentum across markets. As […]

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Global Trade Sentiment Stabilizes Ahead of Pivotal U.S. Labor Data 3

Global Trade Sentiment Stabilizes Ahead of Pivotal U.S. Labor Data

Global financial markets are cautiously regaining footing amid early indications of easing trade tensions between the United States and China. Following heightened uncertainty triggered by the White House’s April 2 tariff expansion, sentiment has since steadied, albeit tentatively. Investors now shift their focus to the April U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, scheduled for release later

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Markets Brace for U.S. GDP Data Amid Trade Policy Shifts and Rate Cut Speculation 5

Markets Brace for U.S. GDP Data Amid Trade Policy Shifts and Rate Cut Speculation

Global financial markets remain in a holding pattern as investors await a new directional catalyst. The spotlight today centers on the U.S. Q1 GDP release, which is widely expected to confirm a sharp slowdown in economic activity due to disruptive policy shifts from the White House. While sentiment has steadied on the back of tariff reprieves

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Dollar Firms, Gold Retreats as Markets Stabilize Amid Ongoing Tariff Ambiguity and US Data Watch 7

Dollar Firms, Gold Retreats as Markets Stabilize Amid Ongoing Tariff Ambiguity and US Data Watch

Financial markets exhibited tentative signs of stabilization following recent episodes of heightened volatility driven by unpredictable U.S. trade policy signals. A modest uptick in the U.S. dollar and a concurrent decline in gold prices suggest an improving short-term risk appetite, although investor conviction remains limited ahead of key U.S. macroeconomic releases this week. Developments around

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Markets Tread Cautiously Amid Trade Negotiation Hopes and Prospects of Further China Stimulus 9

Markets Tread Cautiously Amid Trade Negotiation Hopes and Prospects of Further China Stimulus

Investor sentiment remains cautiously constructive amid expectations of progress in U.S. trade negotiations and growing anticipation of additional monetary stimulus from China. Risk appetite was restrained as market participants awaited key macroeconomic data releases and central bank decisions later this week. Meanwhile, gold prices corrected sharply, while U.S. Treasury yields edged higher and the dollar

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Rate Cut Signals & Tariff Easing Spark Market Rebound – But Volatility Still Looms 11

Rate Cut Signals & Tariff Easing Spark Market Rebound – But Volatility Still Looms

Investor sentiment rebounded to end the week, with risk appetite resurfacing after a string of dovish signals from U.S. Federal Reserve officials and signs of potential de-escalation in the U.S.-China trade standoff. The dollar firmed against major peers, while gold tumbled 1.4% as demand for havens receded. The narrative shift is being driven by growing

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Tactical Patience: Trade Fog Lingers as Dollar Slips and Safe Havens Surge 13

Tactical Patience: Trade Fog Lingers as Dollar Slips and Safe Havens Surge

Dollar Slips, Gold Soars as Trade Uncertainty Resurfaces The U.S. dollar reversed its modest gains while gold rallied sharply, climbing 1.4%, as investors recalibrated expectations following Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s tempered outlook on a resolution to the U.S.-China trade dispute. After two days of declines, the yen rebounded decisively reasserting its haven role amid growing

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Market Breathes But Not Easy: Dollar Climbs as Trade Rhetoric Softens and Powell Stays Put 15

Market Breathes But Not Easy: Dollar Climbs as Trade Rhetoric Softens and Powell Stays Put

Market Breathes But Not Easy: Dollar Climbs as Trade Rhetoric Softens and Powell Stays Put Dollar Rebounds, Treasuries Rally as Trump Calms Fed Fears The U.S. dollar snapped a multi-session slide and Treasuries advanced sharply on Tuesday, following remarks from President Donald Trump affirming he has “no intention” of firing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. The statement

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Dollar Under Siege: Markets Grapple with Fed Uncertainty and Trade War Escalation 17

Dollar Under Siege: Markets Grapple with Fed Uncertainty and Trade War Escalation

Dollar Under Siege: Markets Grapple with Fed Uncertainty and Trade War Escalation The U.S. dollar extended its decline to a 15-month low on Tuesday, as macro risks tied to political interference in monetary policy and a deepening global trade rift triggered broad-based repositioning. An index tracking the greenback’s performance against major currencies registered its steepest

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Dollar Faces Political Headwinds as Fed Independence Comes Under Threat 19

Dollar Faces Political Headwinds as Fed Independence Comes Under Threat

The greenback suffered a broad-based selloff to start the week, sliding against all major currencies as political interference concerns surrounding the Federal Reserve gripped markets. Comments from National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett suggesting President Trump is exploring the legal basis to remove Fed Chair Jerome Powell triggered a sharp recalibration of USD exposure among

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