Authorized and Regulated Entities: SARACEN MARKETS (PTY) LTD

Author name: Market Outlook

GLOBAL MARKETS REBOUND AS CEASEFIRE HOPES EASE GEOPOLITICAL RISK 1

GLOBAL MARKETS REBOUND AS CEASEFIRE HOPES EASE GEOPOLITICAL RISK

Global markets extended their recovery as investors increased exposure to risk assets amid growing expectations that the U.S. – Iran ceasefire could be extended, easing fears of a prolonged disruption to global energy supplies. Asian equities advanced sharply, rising roughly 1.3% and nearly erasing the losses triggered during the peak of the Middle East conflict. […]

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MARKETS REBOUND AS US - IRAN TALKS RAISE HOPES OF ENERGY DE-ESCALATION 3

MARKETS REBOUND AS US – IRAN TALKS RAISE HOPES OF ENERGY DE-ESCALATION

Global markets are cautiously shifting back into risk taking mode as renewed diplomatic engagement between Washington and Tehran raises hopes that the Middle East conflict may move toward de-escalation. Sentiment improved after signals that the U.S. and Iran could enter a second round of negotiations in the coming days, potentially easing pressure on global energy

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Fraying US – Iran Ceasefire Reignites Oil Volatility, Testing the Cross Asset Relief Rally

The 24 hour peace dividend is evaporating. Yesterday’s historic cross asset relief rally is facing severe headwinds today as the US – Iran ceasefire shows immediate signs of fracturing. For market participants, the brief window of ‘risk on’ certainty has closed, replaced by a highly fluid environment where geopolitical developments are dictating intraday price action.

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Markets Turn Defensive as BOJ Hawkish Shift and Crypto Selloff Trigger Caution Ahead of Key Central Bank Decisions 5

Markets Turn Defensive as BOJ Hawkish Shift and Crypto Selloff Trigger Caution Ahead of Key Central Bank Decisions

Global markets stumbled into December with a fresh wave of risk aversion, as a renewed plunge in cryptocurrencies and a sharper hawkish tone from the Bank of Japan (BOJ) rattled sentiment. With the Federal Reserve’s Dec. 9 – 10 meeting and the BOJ’s Dec. 19 policy decision now directly in sight, investors are scaling back risk until the world’s

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Markets Turn Cautious as Crucial US Data Week Begins and Fed Leadership Questions Intensify 11

Markets Turn Cautious as Crucial US Data Week Begins and Fed Leadership Questions Intensify

Global markets opened December on a defensive footing as traders reduced risk exposure ahead of a high stakes data week that could reset expectations for the Federal Reserve’s December meeting and the rate path heading into 2026. Despite the caution, markets continue to firmly price in a quarter point Fed rate cut next week, keeping policy easing as

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CME Outage Disrupts Global Liquidity as Gold Extends Powerful Monthly Rally 17

CME Outage Disrupts Global Liquidity as Gold Extends Powerful Monthly Rally

A cooling malfunction at a key CME data center forced a halt in trading across its major exchanges, including the CBOT, NYMEX, and COMEX. The disruption also spilled into EBS, a primary venue for institutional FX trading, further tightening liquidity conditions during a session already expected to be thin. With one of the world’s largest derivatives marketplaces offline, traders

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Markets Double Down on December Fed Cut as Global Sentiment Turns Risk On 19

Markets Double Down on December Fed Cut as Global Sentiment Turns Risk On

Treasuries held firm for a second session, supported by rising confidence that US monetary policy is headed toward easing. Momentum strengthened after reports that Kevin Hassett, the White House National Economic Council Director and a vocal advocate for lower rates, has emerged as the frontrunner to replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair  a shift that markets

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Rate Cut Momentum Builds as Traders Brace for a Crucial Data Week 21

Rate Cut Momentum Builds as Traders Brace for a Crucial Data Week

Markets entered the week with renewed conviction that the Federal Reserve is preparing to ease policy in December, driving a fresh wave of optimism across risk assets. A series of supportive remarks from key Fed officials  including Governor Christopher Waller, New York Fed President John Williams, and San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly  reinforced the growing view that policymakers

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December Fed Cut Back in Play as Volatility Reignites Across Global Markets 23

December Fed Cut Back in Play as Volatility Reignites Across Global Markets

Traders kicked off the week by rebuilding expectations for a December Federal Reserve rate cut, helping stabilize sentiment after last week’s turbulence. Renewed optimism came after New York Fed President John Williams  one of the most influential voices at the central bank  signaled that policymakers still have room to ease in the near term. His remarks were

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Mixed Jobs Data Fuels Doubt Over December Fed Cut as Markets Turn Cautious 25

Mixed Jobs Data Fuels Doubt Over December Fed Cut as Markets Turn Cautious

Market sentiment turned defensive on Thursday as traders reassessed the likelihood of a December rate cut following a fresh round of cautious commentary from Federal Reserve officials. The long delayed September employment report finally arrived and while it showed a pick up in job growth, the slight rise in the unemployment rate underscored a labor

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