Authorized and Regulated Entities: SARACEN MARKETS (PTY) LTD

Author name: Market Outlook

Fed Pushback Cools December Cut Bets as Traders Shift Focus to Incoming U.S. Data 1

Fed Pushback Cools December Cut Bets as Traders Shift Focus to Incoming U.S. Data

Market optimism that followed the end of the U.S. government shutdown faded on Wednesday as a series of cautious remarks from Federal Reserve officials sharply tempered expectations for a December rate cut. With the probability of easing now slipping below 50%, traders are recalibrating their positions ahead of a wave of long-delayed economic releases that could […]

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U.S. Government Reopens — Traders Shift Focus to Fed and Data Revival 3

U.S. Government Reopens — Traders Shift Focus to Fed and Data Revival

After a record breaking 43-day shutdown, Washington is finally back in business and markets are wasting no time turning their attention to what comes next: the Federal Reserve. President Donald Trump’s signature on the funding bill officially ended the longest government closure in U.S. history, allowing federal operations to resume and setting the stage for the

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Traders Eye Fed Shift as U.S. Job Market Weakens, Data Flow Set to Resume 5

Traders Eye Fed Shift as U.S. Job Market Weakens, Data Flow Set to Resume

Markets turned cautious yet opportunistic on Tuesday as fresh signs of labor market cooling reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve could begin easing as early as next month. The latest figures from ADP Research showed a marked slowdown in private sector employment through late October reigniting demand for bonds and fueling renewed rate cut speculation across

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Markets Brace for Data Comeback as U.S. Government Shutdown Nears End 7

Markets Brace for Data Comeback as U.S. Government Shutdown Nears End

Global traders are recalibrating their strategies as Washington inches closer to ending its historic 41-day government shutdown  a move set to reignite the flow of critical U.S. economic data and reshape expectations for the Federal Reserve’s next policy steps. After weeks of silence on jobs and inflation, investors are preparing for a volatile return of

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Government Shutdown Nears Resolution, Markets Eye Data Rebound 9

Government Shutdown Nears Resolution, Markets Eye Data Rebound

Global markets entered the week with cautious optimism as the US Senate advanced a bill aimed at ending the record breaking government shutdown. A group of moderate Democrats joined Republicans in a key procedural vote, signaling a possible breakthrough that could restore federal operations and release long delayed economic data. The measure still requires final

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Gold Gains as Traders Brace for Consumer Sentiment Data 11

Gold Gains as Traders Brace for Consumer Sentiment Data

Markets remain on edge ahead of the University of Michigan’s preliminary Consumer Sentiment report, which investors see as a key gauge of the US economy’s resilience amid weakening labor data and fiscal uncertainty. The upcoming release is expected to shape market sentiment heading into the weekend, particularly after a volatile week driven by mixed signals

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Markets Steady as Supreme Court Weighs Trump’s Tariff Powers 13

Markets Steady as Supreme Court Weighs Trump’s Tariff Powers

Financial markets held largely steady on Thursday as investors digested fresh political and legal developments out of Washington. The US Supreme Court heard arguments questioning President Donald Trump’s sweeping authority to impose global tariffs one of the cornerstones of his economic agenda. The session, which lasted nearly three hours, signaled growing skepticism among justices about

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Markets Eye US Data as Gold Holds Breath Amid Fed Uncertainty 15

Markets Eye US Data as Gold Holds Breath Amid Fed Uncertainty

Traders entered Wednesday’s session with their focus fixed on upcoming US ADP employment and ISM Services PMI data, which could set the tone for the rest of the week. With investors still digesting the Federal Reserve’s cautious policy stance, attention has turned to whether the next round of economic indicators will reinforce or challenge the

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Dollar Strength Extends as Fed Divisions Cloud Rate Cut Outlook 17

Dollar Strength Extends as Fed Divisions Cloud Rate Cut Outlook

The US dollar extended its winning streak for a fifth consecutive session, climbing to levels last seen in August as traders reassessed expectations for the Federal Reserve’s next policy move. Uncertainty deepened after Chair Jerome Powell reiterated that a December rate cut is not guaranteed, while other Fed officials offered mixed messages. Chicago Fed President

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Commodities in Focus as Traders Eye Fed Path and China’s Policy Shift 19

Commodities in Focus as Traders Eye Fed Path and China’s Policy Shift

Gold Faces Policy Shock as China Ends Tax Incentive Commodity markets opened November on a volatile footing, led by swings in gold prices after China abruptly scrapped a long standing tax incentive on bullion. The move  seen as a signal of Beijing’s efforts to cool speculative demand weighed on sentiment in one of the world’s largest

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